Hits per gram: spin on numbers

 
  Letter:
Dave Jarvis
Victoria, British Columbia
Canada
November 28, 2005


SINGAPORE leaders have claimed that 396.2 grams of heroin would provide 26,000 hits.

Any rudimentary research into the number of hits per gram of heroin will show that the numbers proposed by George Yeo are preposterous. Imagine dividing a gram of sugar into 65 equal piles; how much sugar would each pile contain? Next to nothing! One gram of heroin typically provides 14 doses.

This means that 396.2 grams of heroin yields 5598 doses ("hits").

To exacerbate the issue, a ratio of one hit to one ruined life is a gross exaggeration. Examine regular and addicted user usage patterns and you'll find that 5598 hits will most likely supply the habits of 67 regular users, 15 addicts, or some number in between. A far, far cry from "ruining 26,000 lives" or even 5600 lives. And my calculations are conservative!

Professor John Fitzgerald of the Centre for Health and Society estimates the number people adversely affected by an influx of 396.2 grams of heroin to be a mere 6 to 8 addicts. Claims that 26,000 lives will be ruined have suddenly shrunk to a meagre year's supply for 6 to 8 heavy heroin abusers.

The media, and the Singapore judicial system, has put a horrific spin on these numbers. George Yeo, representing the Singapore Government, did not contemplate the reality of divvying up one gram of heroin into 65 (26,000 / 396.2) impossibly tiny doses.

Van Tuong Nguyen's sentence is based on a gross misrepresentation of figures. In light of this, clemency must be appealed once more.

I have attached the results of a dozen very simple Google searches that tally the average estimated hits of heroin per gram, according to both police and news reports. I strongly encourage you to perform your own independent research.


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